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Forex trading plan for Dec. 3

EUR/USD remains in the 1.2400/2500 range ahead of the major risk event of the week – ECB meeting on Thursday. Meanwhile, you should also pay attention to the Services PMIs (08:15 - 10:00 GMT). What’s more euro zone is scheduled to release retail sales data at 10:00 GMT, the forecast is upbeat.

GBP/USD met resistance at the 20-day MA and returned below 1.5700 as British construction PMI disappointed. Pound remains range bound and will likely return to 1.5630/00 and 1.5585 ahead of the Bank of England’s meeting on Thursday. On Wednesday the UK will release services PMI (09:30 GMT), a slight increase in expected. Resistance is at 1.5830.

USD/JPY was once again supported by the H4 Ichimoku Cloud which is, however, getting thinner and thinner. Positive expectations about the US data are now the main bullish factor for the pair. Resistance is at 119.25, 119.85 and 120.00. Support is at 118.20 and 117.70.

AUD/USD has once again attempted to push higher, but returned back below 0.8550 later in the day. Early on Wednesday Australia is scheduled to release Q3 GDP (consensus: +0.7%, Q2 - +0.5%). However, the overall tone could be easily spoiled by Chinese November Services PMI that follows. Official October reading came at 53.8, while the HSBC estimate was lower (52.9). The topic of Chinese economic slowdown remains important for the market, so the Aussie could come under more selling pressure on the news.


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