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Currency Analyst since 2010

Forex trading plan for March 13

US dollar corrected down on Thursday versus the major currencies as America released weaker than expected retail sales figures (-0.6% vs. the forecast of +0.3%). Another month of contraction in the retail sales could raise serious doubts regarding the positive effect of weak energy prices. The unemployment claims, however, were better – lower – than expected. On Friday America will release producer prices and consumer sentiment data.

EUR/USD tested levels below 1.0500, but then corrected up to 1.0680. Resistance is at 1.0700 and 1.0830. However, the general market’s sentiment about the euro remains bearish. Support is at 1.0560 and 1.0500.

GBP/USD recovered almost to 1.5030, but met resistance there. The risks are to the downside. Support is at 1.4915 and 1.4813. Bank of England's Governor Mark Carney sounded a bit dovish saying that low global CPI and strong pound may weigh on UK prices for some time.

USD/JPY may have formed a temporary top and can slide to the 120.00/119.70 area. Resistance is at 121.65 and 122.00. AUD/USD will face resistance at 0.7800 and looks set to print 0.7500.

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