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Forex trading plan for Mar. 19

Kira Iukhtenko

US Dollar remains under slight bearish pressure on Wednesday ahead of the Fed's policy announcement. The Fed will likely change its policy statement, opening the way for a rate hike in June. However, we expect the greenback to decline following the meeting as the Fed will highlight the negative economic risks. On Thursday United States are scheduled to release jobless claims, current accout and Philly Fed manufacturing index (forecasts - upbeat). 

EUR/USD consolidates slightly above 1.0600 and remains vulnerable to further selloff. The pair is unlikely to overcome the 1.0650/80 resistance area. ECB is scheduled to hold another TLTRO auction on Thursday - the demand is expected to be low. Watch the EU economic summit headlines - we could get some news on the Greek question. 

GBP/USD plunged to 1.4630, disappointed by weak UK labor data and dovish BOE minutes. MPC members were focused on the downside risks to economic growth and inflation on the past meeting. They are seriously worried by growing policy divergence between the ECB and the BOE. 

On top of that, pay attention to the New Zealand GDP tonight. Swiss National Bank will hold its policy meeting later in the day - we could get some hints on rate hikes planned for the coming months. 

EUR
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