US Dollar: forecast for Mar. 23-29
Federal Reserve killed the US dollar rally on Wednesday, lowering economic forecasts and pointing to increased risks. Note that FOMC members’ forecasts for the Fed’s fund rate have been lowered significantly. They now expect rate to reach only 0,62% by the end of the year.
Currency market was strongly disappointed and sold the dollar at a fastest daily pace in 6 years. The long-term USd trend still remains bullish, but we see the short-term prospects worsened. USD will likely be trading sideways with a slight bullish tendency until we see a noticeable progress in economic data.
On the new week the market will pay attention to the inflation figures on Tuesday. Consumer prices kept on falling for 4 months in a row and are expected to stay in the red zone. On Wednesday watch durable goods orders, while on Friday US will publish its final Q4 GDP.