Trading plan for May 13
The US dollar got some support from the April labor market data released on Friday (US NFP came at 223K, while unemployment declined to 5.4%). However, it is not enough to reverse the current bearish USD trend. The market will watch the April retail sales data on Wednesday.
EUR/USD recovered and is trying to hold above 100-day MA at 1.1218. The euro is supported by the rising German bund yields and some stop levels which were hit above 1.1200. Strong support is at 1.1050. On Wednesday don’t miss the euro zone’s flash Q1 GDP data, the forecasts are positive. Resistance is at 1.1290 (May 1 high) and 1.1390 (May 7 high). The single currency has potential for a bit higher, but concerns about Greece will limit the upside.
GBP/USD extends the upside following the parliamentary election. The pair tested the levels above 1.5700 on Tuesday. On Wednesday, we’ll be watching the UK labor market figures and the BOE quarterly inflation report. Resistance is seen at 1,5780 (Dec. 14 high) and 1,5890 (50% Fibonacci).