Trading plan for May 21
The US dollar extends recovery for a third day in a row. On Thursday, we’ll watch the US unemployment claims and the Philly Fed manufacturing index (forecast – rise to 8,3).
EUR/USD tested 1.1060 on Wednesday, falling below the 100-day MA at 1.1160. Fix below 1.1060/50 would open the way for a decline to 1.0700. Greek problems remain a bearish factor for the euro. Watch the European PMI indices on Thursday – activity is expected to decline a little. Later in the day, the ECB will release its April meeting minutes.
GBP/USD is trying to recover back above 1.5500, supported by the BOE meeting minutes release. The next targets are seen at 1.5570 and 1.5600. Watch the UK retail sales on Thursday (forecast: +0,4%).
AUD/USD remains under pressure for a 5th day in a row and fell below 0.7900. The trend line support was broken to the downside. Next target is seen at 0.7790. NZD/USD is testing the important support at 0.7320. Fix below will open the way to 0.7175. Watch the Chinese HSBC manufacturing PMI tonight (forecast: 49,4).