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Currency Analyst since 2010

Sep. 30: Asian session

Demand for the safe currencies surged on the weekend news that in Italy Berlusconi’s party withdrew support from the prime-minister Letta. Italy is now under threat of parliament dissolution and new election. EUR/USD has opened the week with a bearish gap at $1.3490, strengthened a little, but remains capped at $1.3505. Euro zone will release German retail sales and flash CPI today. Don’t forget about the ECB meeting coming on Wednesday. GBP/USD has eased to $1.6150 after having touched $1.6180 earlier in the session.

USD/JPY opened with a gap down at 97.65 after closing at 98.23 on Friday. Then the greenback recovered to 98.05. US dollar dropped to a one-month low against yen as political wrangling over the budget threatened a US government shutdown from tomorrow. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is due to outline his plans tomorrow for taxes and an economic-support package. USD/CHF is trading in the 0.9055 area, still above Friday’s low at 0.9020.

AUD/USD tested 0.9280, but is once again trading above $0.9300. NZD/USD tested $0.8250, but then returned to $0.8280. Australian data released earlier today came out basically in-line with expectations. Chinese HSBC PMI was revised a bit down, but is still above the 50 handle. Later today traders will be monitoring the release of the Chicago PMI in the US (13:45 GMT). USD/CAD opened with a bullish gap and slipped to $1.0300. Canada will release monthly July GDP at 16:30 GMT (rather strong growth expected).

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